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Champions League 2024-25 odds and favourites: Liverpool ahead of Arsenal, Barcelona

Man City lost to Juventus 2-0 and compounded their misfortune for Pep Guardiola's team with one win in their last nine matches.

The odds on Man City winning the Champions League after this defeat rose to +700 and extended their winless streak to three matches.

Arsenal and Barcelona won their matches on Matchday 6 and are keeping pace with Champions League favorite Liverpool ahead of Matchday 7, which will be played on January 21 and 22.

Liverpool, who are also Champions League favorites, are trading at +400 odds at our top soccer betting sites.

Translated with DeepL.com (free version)

Champions League odds 2024-25

To Win

Liverpool
+400

Arsenal
+600

Real Madrid
+700

Barcelona
+750

Bayern München
+750

Manchester City
+750

Inter
+1600
 

Here are the latest notes ahead of round seven

Liverpool have the only perfect record after six matches.
Barcelona, the only unbeaten team, beat Borussia Dortmund away thanks to a late goal from Ferran Torres
City's win odds have increased from +350 to +700 since Matchday 5.
Real Madrid's odds remain unchanged (+700) after beating Atalanta in round 6
Bayer Leverkusen odds increased to +2000 after a 1-0 home win over Inter Milan
Bayern's odds for a win reduced to +700 after a 5-1 win over Shakhtar Donetsk without the injured Harry Kane.
Arsenal beat Monaco 3-0 at home and retain their status as second favorites


Champions League 2024-25 favorite


Liverpool (+400)
 

Liverpool are becoming like a runaway train. They are trading at a minus in the Premier League odds and now have become favorites to win the Champions League as well.

The Reds' win over Real Madrid was a microcosm of the team's entire campaign so far. They have played another match shutting down some of the most dangerous players in European soccer. Following that impressive win, the Reds followed up with another clean sheet victory over Girona on Matchday 6.

The only danger for Liverpool is that they may run out of steam, performing at such a high level in two major competitions. At this stage, they look the favorites, but there is still a long way to go.

Best odds: +400 via bet365 | Odds: 20%


My team to watch in the Champions League
Man City (+700)

This is the worst result for Manchester City since Guardiola took charge of the team in 2016. It's too early to say that this is the end of City's dynastic streak, but a streak of one win in nine matches is unheard of. I can safely say that this is no longer just a slump.

While the significance of Rodri's injury cannot be overstated, City should be good enough to get wins in the absence of their supporting midfielder. But that hasn't happened.

Things got even worse and more disgusting in Week 6. A 2-0 loss to Juventus resulted in three consecutive winless games in the Champions League.

If they play the way they are now, I don't think they'll stand a chance in Paris against PSG in the 7th round. In previous years, City have usually gone on an impressive winning streak starting in January. However, the current team is just a shadow of its former self, and no one should expect a repeat of this usual scenario.

Best odds: +700 at DraftKings | Estimated odds: 12.50%.

Changes to the Champions League 2024-25 format


There have been major changes to the group stage of the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League. We are now treated to a single 36-team league stage, with each team facing eight different teams (four home, four away).

The top eight teams directly qualify for the Round of 16. The teams ranked ninth through 24th will then meet in an elimination playoff, from which eight more teams will advance. Once those 16 teams are determined, the playoffs will turn into a straight knockout, as they have in previous years.

Schedule for 2024-25 and key dates


Stage Matches


Day 1: September 17-19 ✅
Day 2: October 1-2 ✅
3rd round: October 22-23 ✅
4th day: November 5-6 ✅
5th day: November 26-27 ✅
6th day: December 10-11 ✅
Day 7: January 21-22, 2025.
Day 8: January 29, 2025.
 

Knockout Round


Knockout round playoffs: February 11-12 and 18-19, 2025.
Round of 16: March 4-5 and 11-12, 2025.
Quarterfinals: April 8-9 and 15-16, 2025.
Semifinals: April 29-30 and May 6-7, 2025.
Finals: May 31, 2025.
Qualifying rounds
First qualifying round: July 9-10 and 16-17 ✅
Second qualifying round: July 23-24 and July 30-31 ✅
Third qualifying round: August 6-7 and 13 ✅
Playoffs: August 20-21 and 27-28 ✅


How to read Champions League title odds

Champions League odds reflect the probability that each Champions League team will win the championship and are usually presented in American odds format (+XXX). Lower odds indicate favoritism, while higher odds indicate outsider status.

A team with +750 odds will win the Champions League with an 11.76% probability of winning, while a $10 bet will yield a $75 profit if they win. A team with +1500 odds has higher or longer odds and a lower implied probability of 6.25%, but a win on a $10 bet would yield a profit of $150.

When evaluating odds, bettors should consider team results, lineups, injuries and historical trends. People can make informed betting decisions during the Champions League season by comparing odds at different sportsbooks.

Champions League Odds History

TeamYearOdds prior to Round of 16
Real Madrid2024+550
Manchester City2023+185
Real Madrid2022+1600
Chelsea2021+1800
Bayern Munich2020+650
Liverpool2019+900
Real Madrid2018+850
Real Madrid2017+490
Real Madrid2016+550

Champions League wins by team

TeamChampionshipsRunners-up
Real Madrid153
Milan74
Bayern Munich65
Liverpool64
Barcelona53
Ajax42
Inter Milan33
Manchester United32
Juventus27
Benfica25

Champions League Q&A


Who are the favorites to win the Champions League in 2025?
Liverpool is the favorite to win the Champions League with +400 odds and a 20% chance of winning, according to our odds calculator.

When does the 2024-25 Champions League start?
The UEFA Champions League 2024-25 will kick off on July 9, 2024 with the qualifying rounds. Group stage matches will begin on September 17, 2024 and will last until January 9, 2025.

The knockout rounds will begin on February 11, 2025 and last until the final on May 31, 2025.

Who won the Champions League last year?
Real Madrid won the Champions League in 2024, starting the match at +650 and finishing at -340 the day before the final against Dortmund.

When will the 2025 Champions League be played?
The 2024-25 Champions League final will be played on May 31, 2025.

Where will the 2025 Champions League final be played?
The Champions League final will return to Germany's Allianz Arena for the first time since 2012.
 

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