Sunday night's matchup between the Atlanta Falcons and Washington Commanders will take place in our nation's capital.
Following up on our Week 17 NFL predictions, which include a prediction for the Falcons vs. the Commodores, my Falcons vs. Commodores predictions and betting odds, based on our best Sunday Night Football odds, show the advantage of a pair of rushing players in a rainy battle between NFC contenders.
The Commodores (-3.5) host the Falcons at Northwest Stadium in Landover, Maryland on Sunday at 8:20 p.m. ET (NBC/Peacock).
Falcons vs Commanders: Sunday Night Football predictions
NFL match predictions based on odds from the best NFL betting sites. Odds are subject to change.
Under 46 (-110) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Jayden Daniels Over 48.5 passing yards (-115) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Tyler Allgeier Over 30.5 yards (-115) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
Combined Odds: +700 via DraftKings | Estimated Probability: 12.50%
SGP Predictions for Falcons vs. Chiefs matchup
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Under 46 (-110) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Even though 68% of bets have been placed on the 'over' since the game opened at 47.5, we see the line dropping to 46-46.5.
We will follow the “sharp money” expecting a less impactful matchup on Sunday night.
The Commodores have a tendency to over totals this season, but they are facing a Falcons team whose matches have finished 5-10 times over. Atlanta has scored less than 46 points in eight games this year, including five of the last six meetings.
DraftKings has lowered the total to 46, but you can find a more favorable number on some of our top sports betting apps if you want to bet directly on that total.
Jaden Daniels Over 48.5 yards rushing (-115) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Daniels has added to his running game in recent weeks, and his numbers should be well within reach on Sunday night.
He has gained 66 or more yards in three of his last four games. That's because he's getting consistent opportunities to run, and he's had seven or more picks in seven of the last eight games.
The Falcons haven't seen a dual-threat quarterback on their schedule lately, but they did allow Justin Fields to gain 57 yards and Jalen Hurts to gain 85 yards in September.
Our top betting oddsmakers have Daniels gaining between 48.5 and 49.5 yards, so DraftKings offers a slight edge on this prediction over other betting sites.
Tyler Allgeier Over 30.5 yards rushing (-115) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
On a team running behind Bijan Robinson, Allgeier gets a consistent enough weekly workload to consider his advantage in terms of yards gained against soft defenses.
Washington ranks 29th in run defense, allowing 137.4 yards per game on the ground, and Allgeier is averaging 4.6 YPC on the season.
He has had more than eight running attempts in four straight games and has topped the 30.5-yard mark nine times on the year.
While DraftKings offers less favorable odds on Allgaier's game total and rushing line, their +700 SGP odds on all three games are superior to other betting shops.
A winning bet of $10 on this game at DraftKings will yield a profit of $70.00.
Sunday Night Football matchup information
Matchup: Falcons vs. Chiefs
Kickoff: 8:20 PM ET
Where: Northwest Stadium (Landover, Md.)
How to watch: NBC/Peacock
Weather: 59 degrees, 70% chance of precipitation, 14 mph SSE winds
Favorite: Commanders -3.5 (-102 via DraftKings)
