With Super Bowl 2025 just days away, we've compiled all of our top predictions for the Chiefs vs. Eagles ahead of Sunday's 6:30 p.m. ET kickoff on FOX.
We offer our expert predictions and betting odds on the hottest plays for Super Bowl 59, including the first scoring touchdown, as well as pass, run and receive bets before these teams take the field at Caesars Superdome in New Orleans.
Here are our best Super Bowl bets with predictions and odds from the best NFL betting sites ahead of the Chiefs vs. Eagles in Super Bowl 59.
Patrick Mahomes Less than 36.5 pass attempts (-120)
Saquon Barkley More than 110.5 yards rushing (-110)
Travis Kelce Over 6.5 rebounds (+130)
DeVonta Smith Over 50.5 receiving yards (-111)
Chris Jones Over 0.25 sacks (+114)
Jake Elliott Over 1.5 scoring plays (+105)
Kareem Hunt scoring any touchdown (+145)
Dallas Goedert First touchdown (+1900)
DeAndre Hopkins who scored the last touchdown (+3000)
Marquise Brown 1st reception for the Chiefs (+500)
Saquon Barkley will break the Super Bowl record for most points scored (+1100)
You can also check out all of our Super Bowl predictions to help you with your NFL betting picks.
Patrick Mahomes Less than 36.5 pass attempts
Super Bowl picks and player odds for Tuesday, Feb. 4.
The Eagles defense is no joke this season. In the regular season and playoffs, the defense allowed 6.1 yards per attempt. That's the lowest among all NFL teams, and the lowest per season since 2001.
Philadelphia, which is the underdog in the Super Bowl odds, ranks first in total defense and second in points per game. Its balanced attack should keep Mahomes and the Chiefs offense off the field more often than usual.
Check out our full analysis of the best pass plays in the Super Bowl.
Saquon Barkley More than 110.5 yards per rush
Super Bowl player selections and odds for Tuesday, Feb. 4.
Barkley has gained at least 118 yards in five straight games, and in the last two games he's averaged nearly 8 yards per pass. The Chiefs may have finished the year with the eighth-best rushing defense, but the Super Bowl favorites aren't playing their best in the postseason.
James Cook gained 85 yards and two touchdowns in the AFC Championship Game, and Joe Mixon gained 88 yards in the Divisional Round. Both backs averaged at least 4.9 yards per pass.
That number is high, but Barkley has shown incredibly good play throughout the year. The only way he doesn't make it to the Over is if the Chiefs take an immediate lead by a few points.
Travis Kelce Over 6.5 receptions
Super Bowl selections and player odds for Tuesday, Feb. 4.
The Eagles' secondary has been one of the best in the league this season, allowing 184.9 yards per game). But given the struggles of Kansas City's running game of late, the path to a three-win season for the Chiefs is through Mahomes' arm.
That should mean a lot of Kelce. While the Eagles haven't been particularly susceptible to the performance of tight ends this year, they allowed Zach Ertz to make 11 receptions and gain 104 yards during the NFC Championship Game.
The Bills blocked Kelcey for just two receptions, but he had seven rebounds in a row in the games leading up to this game.
DeVonta Smith Over 50.5 yards receiving
Super Bowl player selections and odds for Monday, Feb. 3.
Over the last seven games, Smith has utilized the slot in more than half of his approaches. That bodes well for him getting more targets, as A.J. Brown will likely face shady coverage from Kansas City's best cornerback, Trent McDuffie.
The Chiefs give slot receivers the second-most yards and rank in the top eight in yards per target. Conversely, they have allowed the fewest receptions to perimeter receivers.
Smith has exceeded that projected total only once in three playoff games. But he caught all 12 of his targets in the first three rounds and finished the regular season with 51+ yards in three straight games.
Chris Jones Over 0.25 Sacks
Super Bowl player selections and odds for Tuesday, Feb. 4.
Jones needs to score just half a sack to exceed his projected total, and those odds are too good to pass up. The Chiefs star has one sack and six quarterback pressures in two playoff games this season.
Eagles quarterback Jalen Hurts typically doesn't throw much, but he has gotten two-plus sacks in all three playoff games, including seven during a win over the Rams in the divisional round.
Jake Elliott More than 1.5 scoring chances
Super Bowl player selections and odds for Tuesday, Feb. 4.
The Eagles are good enough to not chase points. If they stall in an unfavorable situation, I expect Nick Sirianni to play it safe and call on the field goal brigade like he did in the first two games of the postseason.
Elliott has converted 6 of 7 field goal attempts this postseason. Five of those were made from 39 yards or less. He also finished the regular season with at least two field goals in four straight games. Six of his 10 attempts in that span were from 40 yards or less.
The Eagles can move the ball against anyone, but they tend to settle for field goals. The Chiefs will allow them to get into field goal range. But Kansas City's defense will be tougher, forcing Elliott into a bigger role than usual.
Kareem Hunt, who scored the most touchdowns of all time
Super Bowl player selections and odds for Wednesday, Feb. 5.
When Isaiah Pacheco first returned from injury, Hunt had a tough time. But the latter often has trouble returning to form, which has given Hunt plenty of opportunities.
Among them are three games with double-digit rebounds in the last five games, and he scored 17 points during a tight AFC championship game. Hunt has also scored points in four straight games, and he was efficient, scoring seven touchdowns in the red zone during the regular season (11th).
The attractive plus odds here are certainly due to the fact that the Eagles have allowed running backs to score just five touchdowns (second-most). Still, Hunt has been too effective and utilized too often near the goal line to ignore at this price.
Dallas Goedert, who scored 1 touchdown
Super Bowl player selections and odds for Thursday, February 6.
I like Goedert's matchup against the Chiefs. He tore the Washington Commanders apart, gaining 85 yards on seven picks, and now he'll face a Chiefs defense that has trouble protecting tight ends in the middle of the field.
Goedert should be ready to hit the target, as the Chiefs defense is mostly focused on stopping A.J. Brown, DeVonta Smith, Barkley and Hurts. He scored a touchdown against the Green Bay Packers in the wild-card round and has two touchdowns in the last five regular-season games.
DeAndre Hopkins is the latest scorer in touchdowns
Super Bowl selections and odds for Thursday, Feb. 6.
Hopkins has been remarkably quiet so far in the NFL playoffs. He's only been targeted three times and has made one reception for 11 yards. Because of that, his odds are inflated ahead of the Super Bowl, which means it's much easier to gamble on them.
Hopkins has repeatedly talked about how much it means to him to be in his first Super Bowl. So it's unlikely that one of the best receivers of this generation will be content to not play in this matchup.
In the last three Super Bowls, receivers have scored the last touchdown of the Big Game winner (Cooper Kupp, Sky Moore and Mecole Hardman). If the game is as close as our Super Bowl predictions expect it to be, Mahomes could turn to his most experienced receiver to make it a three-peat.
Marquise Brown is the Chiefs' first receiver
Super Bowl picks and odds for the Super Bowl on Thursday, February 6.
I'm getting a little off topic here, but this is one of my favorite Super Bowl bets every year - especially after I cashed in on a few long bets last year when 49ers quarterback Kyle Juszczyk caught his first pass for San Francisco.
I don't see that value this year, unless you want to try Isaiah Pacheco (+1400), who was Patrick Mahomes' first target in the wild-card round. Instead, my eyes are on Brown, who caught his first two passes in the AFC Championship and has often been the team's early target since his return.
Brown's presence on the field is important for a Kansas City offense that has failed to stretch the field all season, so I expect him to be one of the first 11 players when the Chiefs get the ball. And don't be surprised if he's utilized right away.
Saquon Barkley to break Super Bowl record for most points scored
Super Bowl odds and player betting odds for Monday, Feb. 3.
Not only did Ricky Sanders set the Super Bowl record for most receiving yards in Super Bowl 22 in 1988, but Washington's Timmy Smith set the Super Bowl record for most points scored with 204 yards in the same game. That broke Marcus Allen's 191-yard output in 1984.
Barkley has already gained 2,447 yards this season, which is the second all-time record. It's worth betting that he (or Kareem Hunt) can break the Super Bowl record for points scored, at odds of +1100 on our best sports betting apps. Barkley already ran for 205 yards in the divisional round against the Rams, as well as 255 yards in the regular season win.
He has run for 60 yards in five games this season, so Barkley doesn't necessarily need a high volume to break the record. It won't be easy, though, as the Chiefs haven't allowed a single 100-yard rusher in the playoffs under Steve Spagnuolo as defensive coordinator.
Super Bowl 2025 information
When: Sunday, Feb. 9
Kickoff: 6:30 p.m. ET
Where: Caesars Superdome (New Orleans)
How to watch: FOX
Weather: Indoors
Favorite: Chiefs -1.5 (-105 via BetMGM)
