The San Antonio Spurs may be the “visitors” in their matchup with the Indiana Pacers on Thursday afternoon, but superstar big man Victor Wembanyama will be at home when that game kicks off at 2 p.m. ET (NBA TV) from Accor Arena in Paris.
He may still be a year or two away from truly competing with the favorites for the NBA MVP, but Wembanyama has been simply superb in his second season in the Association.
Wambi will almost certainly be named Defensive Player of the Year for the second straight year, and he's gotten better as a scorer, averaging 24.4 points per game (up from 21.4 in 2023-24). However, our Spurs vs Pacers matchup predictions and player betting odds focus on his role as a facilitator.
A big test awaits him and the Spurs in Thursday's matchup against the Pacers. Our top NBA betting sites have San Antonio as a 3.5-point underdog, so it's up to Wamby to send the French fans home happy.
Spurs vs Pacers prediction
Rated on a scale of 1 to 5 stars; odds at our top NBA betting sites.
Matchup pick: Pacers to win (-143 at BetRivers) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Victor Wembanyama player prop bet: Over 3.5 assists (-110 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Victor Wembanyama player prop pick: Less than 3.5 turnovers (+132 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
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Best predictions on Victor Wembanyama
Victor Wembanyama player prop pick: Over 3.5 assists ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Wembanyama has sacrificed some assists at the expense of scoring more points this year, but he's still averaging 3.7 per game. However, he is projected to be more of a facilitator on Thursday.
The big man's points projection is 24.8 - in line with his season average, but well below the 28.5 we list on our top sports betting apps. However, as a trade-off, he will give up 4.3 assists, making this a very favorable bet.
Based on that number, we get 16.3% +EV on this pick, and BetMGM is the only sportsbook offering that price. DraftKings is offering odds of -135, and Pinnacle is -132 after opening with odds of -106.
Best odds: -110 via BetMGM | Estimated probability: 52.38%
Victor Vembanyama player prop pick: Less than 3.5 turnovers ⭐⭐⭐⭐
One interesting thing about Vembanyama's play this season is that his usage is down compared to his rookie season. This has helped him improve his turnover rate (from 16.2% to 14.3%).
Wamby is projected to have another relatively clean game in Paris, as he is projected to have a 3.8 turnover rate. Based on this prediction, we get exactly 11% +EV on this bet at odds of +132.
Some of our top bookmakers don't offer this market, making it difficult to find a price. Fortunately, at bet365 we get a great price.
You'll definitely have to sweat in this game, but the price is too high to pass up.
Best odds: +132 via bet365 | Estimated probability: 43.10%.
Spurs vs Pacers matchup information
When: Thursday, Jan. 23
Kickoff: 2 p.m. ET
Where: Accor Arena (Paris)
How to watch: NBA TV
Favorite: Pacers -3.5 (-108 via DraftKings)
